Publications

Peer reviewed:

Lagodny, Julius, Julianna Koch, Rebekah Jones & Peter K. Enns, “State Policy Mood: Updated measuresof over time dynamics.”(accepted; forthcoming in State Politics and Policy Quarterly)

Peter K. Enns, Julius Lagodny (2021): Using Election Forecasts to Understand the Potential Influence of Campaigns, Media, and the Law in U.S. Presidential Elections, University of Miami Law Review, Vol 75, No 2.

Peter K. Enns, Julius Lagodny (2020): Forecasting the 2020 Electoral College Winner: The State Presidential Approval/State Economy Model, PS: Political Science & Politics, 2020 Presidential Election Forecasting symposium

Peter K. Enns, Julius Lagodny, & Jonathon P. Schuldt (2017): Understanding the 2016 US Presidential Polls: The Importance of Hidden Trump Supporters; Statistics, Politics and Policy, Volume 8, Issue 1.

Curated Data sets:

Replication data for forecast of US Presidential Elections 2020 (with Peter Enns): Forecasting the 2020
Electoral College Winner: The State Presidential Approval/State Economy Model
.

Migrazensus Germany 2021 (with Arndt Leininger): Number and share of eligible citizens with a migration
background per electoral district for Germany’s 2021 national election
.

The Washington Post – Monkey Cage:

Marc Debus, Thorsten Faas, Julius Lagodny Angela Merkel’s bloc lost ground in Sunday’s election. So who
won?
, 9/30/21.

Peter K. Enns, & Julius Lagodny: We predicted States Biden would win 100 days before Election, 11/12/2020

Thomas Davidson & Julius Lagodny: Germany’s far-right party AfD won the Facebook battle. By a lot. 09/26/17

Peter K. Enns, Jonathon P. Schuldt, Julius Lagodny, & Alexander Rauter: Why the polls missed in 2016: Was it shy Trump supporters after all? 12/13/2016

Other Media engagement:

Press Conference with Türkische Gemeinde Deutschland and Citizens for Europe for policy paper on the voting potential of immigrant-origin citizens (in German)

Germany’s diversity shows as immigrants run for parliament, Interview cited in Associated Press by Kirsten Grieshaber 9/22/2021.Also published (among others) in: The Washington Post, ABC News, New India Express (India), or the Mainichi (Japan)

Quoted in Infobae on why the polls did not predict such a close race, 11/08/2020

Interview with Marktforschung.de on the Presidential Elections 2020, 10/29/2020

Other Publications:

Gyamerah, Daniel; Lagodny, Julius; Leininger, Arndt und Yıldırım-Caliman, Deniz (2021): Advocating for Inclusion Policy Brief 2 — September 2021, Wähler*innen mit Migrationshintergrund als wahlentscheidender Faktor: Ihr potentieller Einfluss auf die Bundestagswahl 2021. Citizens For Europe (CFE) (Hrsg.), Berlin. (transl: Voters with a migration background as an electorally decisive factor. Their potential influence on the 2021 Bundestag Election)

Lagodny, Otto & Julius Lagodny (forthcoming), ”Law as ‘Argumentative Science’ Functional transfer of basics of scientific theory” in Festschrift Prof. Mordechai Kremnitzer, Springer Nature.

Julius Lagodny & Otto Lagodny (2019): Fußnotenkulturen – Beobachtungen aus rechts- und politikwissenschaftlicher Sicht in: Zeitschrift für internationale Strafrechtsdogmatik, Volume 14, Issue 6. (transl: Footnote-cultures: Observations from a law and political science perspective)

Thomas Wencker, Christoph Trinn, Sebastian Cujai, Julius Lagodny & Natascha Pongratz (2014) Reise ins Ungewisse: Migration als Problem transnationaler Sicherheit. Ein Bericht über den Heidelberger Dialog zur internationalen Sicherheit 2013 in: Zeitschrift für Außen- und Sicherheitspolitik, Volume 7. (transl: A journey into the unknown: Migration as a problem of transnational security. A Report on the Heidelberg Dialogue on International Security 2013)